Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 152.620794 178.418300 209.139393 248.972928 300.091114 3.646911e+02 454.533171
2025-02-23 117.570950 148.335965 189.291950 249.776736 340.564329 4.787898e+02 721.492071
2025-03-02 99.440152 131.760497 178.076783 253.010886 379.541486 6.039285e+02 1092.070877
2025-03-09 87.556229 120.355508 170.085825 256.628015 418.022736 7.467146e+02 1635.010660
2025-03-16 76.987623 108.646839 158.658304 250.590900 435.950712 8.597684e+02 2261.058728
2025-03-23 72.221401 104.884480 158.876563 264.523024 498.242486 1.117137e+03 3849.550739
2025-03-30 64.772357 95.667944 148.138511 254.806503 505.108400 1.236927e+03 5269.864131
2025-04-06 60.212701 90.599380 143.778759 256.672799 540.487579 1.478264e+03 8541.934705
2025-04-13 55.991912 85.564748 138.647048 255.615224 568.248673 1.727416e+03 14070.854430
2025-04-20 53.941192 84.038988 139.813252 268.750274 642.677337 2.276805e+03 34735.419495
2025-04-27 53.158353 84.651468 145.182962 293.242461 767.989966 3.359301e+03 194692.020320
2025-05-04 49.813650 80.165339 139.548314 288.927558 793.362051 3.912782e+03 872768.658408
2025-05-11 47.170361 77.014472 136.852831 293.416672 863.265545 5.147416e+03 NaN
2025-05-18 44.464222 73.513853 133.025993 294.313947 923.596923 6.698110e+03 NaN
2025-05-25 42.280372 70.796637 130.511027 298.365994 1004.055713 9.221004e+03 NaN
2025-06-01 40.355015 68.388997 128.332822 302.910352 1094.170683 1.317423e+04 NaN
2025-06-08 37.914886 64.711180 122.724480 295.328207 1115.049379 1.621534e+04 NaN
2025-06-15 37.082552 64.248663 124.641405 312.850020 1305.810749 3.133555e+04 NaN
2025-06-22 34.800343 60.559159 118.270051 300.620957 1294.355534 3.723648e+04 NaN
2025-06-29 33.427078 58.683412 116.162667 302.966632 1392.267710 6.189359e+04 NaN
2025-07-06 31.999949 56.577641 113.227343 301.637218 1465.061474 1.019001e+05 NaN
2025-07-13 31.437531 56.289880 114.892769 318.183210 1717.708450 3.950663e+05 NaN
2025-07-20 31.402778 57.151880 119.699539 349.232675 2194.190491 1.058043e+08 NaN